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Danielle Lupton

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Danielle Lupton

Associate Professor of Political Science; Director of the International Relations Program

Department/Office Information

Political Science, International Relations
122 Persson Hall
  • R 12:00pm - 3:00pm (Hall of the States)

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Danielle Lupton's research investigates the impact of individual leaders on international security and foreign policy. She is the author of Reputation for Resolve: How Leaders Signal Determination in International Politics (, 2020), which won the 2021 J. David Singer Book Award. Her research is also published or forthcoming in the American Political Science Review, International Studies Quarterly, Security Studies, Political Analysis, International Interactions, Political Research Quarterly, the Journal of Global Security Studies, Ethics & International Affairs, Global Studies Quarterly, and American Politics Research.

Her policy relevant writings have appeared in Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Just SecurityThe Washington Post, and Political Violence @ A Glance. Her media appearances include CNN, The New York Times, The Economist, Scientific American, Good Morning America, The Hill, Roll Call, Military.com, Defense One, War on the Rocks' Warcast, Horns of a Dilemma Podcast, and the POTUS radio show.   She is also the Co-Editor of . In the 2022-2023 academic year, she served as a research fellow at West Point's Modern War Institute.

Learn more about her research and teaching on her .

Ph.D., Duke University, 2014

M.A., Duke University, 2011

B.A., Furman University, 2008 (summa cum laude)

Book:

Danielle L. Lupton. ​2020. Reputation for Resolve: How Leaders Signal Determination in International Politics. Ithaca: . 

Refereed Journal Articles:

Danielle L. Lupton and Jeremy M. Teigen. 2025. "Base Assumptions: The Complex Electoral Geography of Stateside US Military Installations." PS: Political Science & Politics, forthcoming.

Jessica Blankshain, Lindsay P. Cohn, and Danielle L. Lupton. 2024. "I'm From the Government and I'm Here to Help: Public perceptions of the use of coercive state power in the United States."  119(1): 384-401.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2024. "Threat Construction and Coercive Credibility." 33(3): 407-438.

John Doces and Danielle L. Lupton. 2023. "Leader Turnover, Regime Type, and Growth Volatility." 3(2): ksad020.

Jessica Blankshain, David Glick, and Danielle L. Lupton. 2023. "War Metaphors (What Are They Good For?): Militarized Rhetoric and Attitudes Toward Essential Workers During the Covid-19 Pandemic."  51(2): 161-173.

Danielle L. Lupton and Clayton Webb. 2022. "Whither Elites? The Role of Elite Credibility and Knowledge in Public Perceptions of Foreign Policy."  66(3): sqac057.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2022. "Military Experience and Elite Decision-Making: Self-Selection, Socialization, and the Vietnam Draft Lottery."  66(1): sqab052.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2020. "The Reputational Costs and Ethical Implications of Coercive Limited Air Strikes: The Fallacy of the Middle Ground Approach,"  34(2): 217-228.

Jonathan N. Brown, Danielle L. Lupton, and Alex Farrington. 2019. "Embedded Deception: Interpersonal Trust, Cooperative Expectations, and the Sharing of Fabricated Intelligence."  4(2): 209-226.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2019. "The External Validity of College Student Subject Pools in Experimental Research: A Cross-Sample Comparison of Treatment Effect Heterogeneity,"  27(1): 90-97.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2018. "Reexamining Reputation for Resolve: Leaders, States, and the Onset of International Crises."  3(2): 196-218.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2018. "Signaling Resolve: Leaders, Reputations, and the Importance of Early Interactions."  44(1): 59-87.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2017. "Out of the Service, Into the House: Military Experience and Congressional War Oversight."  70(2): 327-339.

Book Chapters:

Danielle L. Lupton. 2025. "Congress and the AVF," in Bend but do not Break: Shaping the Future of the All-Volunteer Force, eds. Jaron Wharton, Keith Carter, Kate Kuzminski, Max Margulies, Jason Dempsey, and Carrie Lee. Oxford University Press, forthcoming.

Danielle L. Lupton and Clayton Webb. 2023. "Experimental Methods," in eds. Patrick Mello and Falk Ostermann (New York: Routledge), 338-353.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2021. "Veterans in the Post-2001 House: The Impact of Military Service on War Oversight," in eds. Ralph Carter and James Scott (Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield), 161-176.

Danielle L. Lupton and Valerie Morkevicius. 2019. "The Fog of War: Violence, Coercion, and Jus ad Vim," in , ed. Jai Galliot (Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press), 36-56.

Book Reviews:

Danielle L. Lupton. 2025. Review of Elizabeth Saunders, The Insiders' Game: How Elites Make War and Peace (Princeton University Press, 2024). H-DIPLO/RJISSF Roundtable Review, forthcoming.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2023. Author's Response to Roundtable Review of Reputation for Resolve: How Leaders Signal Determination in International Politics (Cornell University Press, 2020), 10 February.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2021. "What if? A Look Back at the Strategic Logic of U.S. Alliances." Review of Mira Rapp Hooper's Shields of the Republic (Harvard University Press, 2020). , 9 August. 

Danielle L. Lupton. 2017. Review of Frank P. Harvey and John Mitton, Fighting for Credibility: U.S. Reputation and International Politics (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 2016). Vol. X, No. 3, December 1.

Public Scholarship:

Danielle L. Lupton and Anne Perring. 2025. "Trump's NIH restrictions could cost lives and weaken defense." , February 5.

Danielle L. Lupton et al. 2025. "Can the president deploy the military inside the United States?" , December 3.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2024. "Presidential Campaign Songs." , July 30.

Jessica Blankshain, David Glick, and Danielle L. Lupton. 2022. "'War on Covid' rhetoric does little to shape public attitudes in a polarized political environment and may do more harm than good." , November 9.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2021. "Biden Has a Narrow Window to Restore U.S. Credibility." , February 8. 

Jessica Blankshain, Max Z. Margulies, and Danielle L. Lupton. 2020. "Shifting Norms Ģtv Secretary of Defense Has Long-Term Consequences: On the Austin Nomination." , December 22. 

Danielle L. Lupton and Max Z. Margulies. 2020. "Trump's election fraud allegations suggest military voters uniformly supported him. It's not so." , November 18.

Danielle L. Lupton, David T. Burbach, and Lindsay P. Cohn. 2020. "Authoritarian Tactics on US Soil." , August 5. 

David T. Burbach, Lindsay P. Cohn, and Danielle L. Lupton. 2020. "What's happening in Portland could hurt civilian control of the military. Here's how." , July 29.

Jessica Blankshain and Danielle L. Lupton. 2020. "This is the problem with calling it a 'war' on coronavirus." , April 20.

Danielle L. Lupton and Michael Robinson. 2020. "Grading Joe Biden on Foreign Policy." , March 17.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2020. "Trump thought escalating the Iran crisis would solve it. That's not how escalation works." , January 8.

Valerie O. Morkevicius and Danielle L. Lupton. 2020. "Was the Killing of Qassem Soleimani Justified?" , January 6.

Danielle L. Lupton and Valerie O. Morkevicius. 2019. "No, Trump probably won't start a war to divert from his difficulties. Here's what he'll do instead." , October 17.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2019. "D-Day would be nearly impossible to pull off today. Here's why." June 6.

Danielle L. Lupton, Valerie Morkevicius, and James Pattison. 2019. "Choosing an Ethical and Effective Response to Russian Aggression in Ukraine." March 4. 

Danielle L. Lupton. 2017. “Having fewer veterans in Congress makes it less likely to restrain the president’s use of force.” , November 10.

Danielle L. Lupton, Roseanne McManus, and Keren Yarhi-Milo. 2017. “Trump is trying to send North Korea a message. He’s got a long way to go.” , April 26.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2017. “Deterring North Korea: Understanding the Options and Challenges.” , April 5.

Danielle L. Lupton and Peter Feaver. 2016. “Voices Carry: How Careless Campaign Bombast Can Undo Administrations.” , May 16.

Danielle L. Lupton. 2016. “Lessons in Failure: Libya Five Years Later.” , April 15.

External:

  • 2025 Distinguished Mentorship Award, Teaching Centric Institutions Caucus, International Studies Association
  • 2024 Frank J. Klingberg Best Paper Award, International Studies Association Midwest Region
  • 2022 Research Fellow, Modern War Institute, US Military Academy at West Point
  • 2021 J. David Singer Book Award, International Studies Association Midwest Region
  • 2021 Honorable Mention, Best Book Award, Foreign Policy Section, American Political Science Association
  • 2021 Runner Up, America in the World Consortium Best Article on US Foreign Policy and Grand Strategy
  • 2020 Research Workshop Grant, International Studies Association
  • 2020 Artinian Travel Award, Southern Political Science Association
  • 2018 Small Research Grant, American Political Science Association
  • 2017 Travel Grant, Louis Rakin Foundation
  • 2016 Best Paper Award, Foreign Policy Section, American Political Science Association
  • 2015 Research Grant, Eisenhower Foundation
  • 2015 Frederick M. Jablin Doctoral Dissertation Award, International Leadership Association
  • 2013 Bradley Fellow, Bradley Foundation
  • 2010 Bradley Fellow, Bradley Foundation

     Internal:

  • 2024 Robert H.N. Ho Mind, Brain, and Behavior Initiative Discretionary Grant, Ģtv
  • 2023 Public Affairs and Policy Research Initiative Research Grant, Ģtv
  • 2018 Picker Research Fellowship, Ģtv
  • 2013 Aleane Webb Dissertation Research Fellowship, Duke University
  • 2013 Research Grant, Program for the Study of Democracy, Institutions, and Political Economy
  • 2013 Bradley Fellow, Bradley Foundation
  • 2012 Alona Evans International Law and International Relations Award, Duke University
  • 2012 Research Grant, Social Science Research Institute at Duke University
  • 2012 Summer Research Fellowship, Robert K. Steel Family Graduate Fellowship Endowment
  • 2012 Aleane Webb Dissertation Research Fellowship, Duke University
  • 2011 Summer Research Fellowship, Program for the Study of Democracy, Institutions, and Political Economy
  • 2008 Phi Beta Kappa, Furman University
  • Honors Seminar in Political Science and International Relations
  • War: Theories and Practices (Senior Seminar)
  • Silent Warfare: Intelligence Analysis and Statecraft
  • Foreign Policy Analysis
  • Our Constitutional Order: Continuity and Change in American Civil-Military Relations
  • The Contemporary Policy Process
  • Contemporary American Foreign Policy
  • Fundamentals of International Relations
  • Global Peace and War
  • First Year Seminar in Fundamentals of International Relations (FSEM)
  • International Relations
  • Security Studies
  • American Foreign Policy
  • Civil-Military Relations
  • Surveys and Experiments